LoL Pro League LPL betting picks
by Jur Dava in
eSport Betting Predictions

ESB’s free League of Legends betting tips for Tuesday, July 11, focus on three LoL Pro League (LPL) 2023 Summer bouts in the final week of the regular season. Here are our picks for Ultra Prime vs Top Esports, Anyone’s Legend vs Oh My God, and Team WE vs JD Gaming.


ULTRA PRIME vs TOP ESPORTS LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

Best Odds: UP $8.00 at GG Bet | TES $1.10 at GG Bet
When: July 11, 2023 | 15:00 CST
Watch Live: Lolesports, Twitch

Ultra Prime have been a good underdog team this split, but only when faced with bad favourites. Over their last four, UP have lost against EDward Gaming (1-2), JD Gaming (0-2), Oh My God (0-2), and Weibo Gaming (0-2), which doesn’t look good, but those are also very good teams, so it’s not like they had a realistic chance to accomplish more.

Top Esports are already guaranteed a spot in the playoffs and are now only playing for seeding. This might sound like TES don’t care how their games go anymore, but that isn’t necessarily the case since they can still lock in a top-four finish and a much easier road to the LPL Summer finals.

With just Ultra Prime and Anyone’s Legend left on their schedule, Top Esports should end the regular season 12-4. We’ve seen TES look like an elite team one day and then turn into a pumpkin the next, but even though we don’t know what we’re getting on Tuesday, it’s hard to expect anything but a dominant showing from Top Esports.

Top Esports -9.5 kills

$1.83
at
GG Bet

ANYONE’S LEGEND vs OH MY GOD LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

Best Odds: AL $4.33 at GG Bet | OMG $1.20 at GG Bet
When: July 11, 2023 | 17:00 CST
Watch Live: Lolesports, Twitch

Oh My God are a competitive team, but their lack of consistency and their tendency to play down to an opponent’s level are concerning. This was very noticeable last week when OMG played well against Top Esports (1-2) but then lost to ThunderTalk Gaming (0-2). And if we look further back, they dropped maps against FunPlus Phoenix (1-2) and LGD Gaming (1-2).

Oh My God are not a team you would want to bet on as heavy favourites. But does that make Anyone’s Legend a good bet?

At $4.33 with GG Bet, Anyone’s Legend are given a 23.1% implied probability of winning. However, they have looked competitive even against stronger teams in the latter half of the regular season.

Betting on Anyone’s Legend with a map handicap isn’t a bad choice, but taking over 25.5 kills makes more sense. Since patch 13.12, the average kills per game in the LPL has risen significantly (around +3), and this is a match between two teams who aren’t afraid to fight. Both teams also suffer bad losses, so we can expect a bloody game regardless of the outcome.

Over 25.5 total kills

$2.05
at
GG Bet

TEAM WE vs JD GAMING LoL BETTING & MATCH DETAILS

Best Odds: WE $8.00 at GG Bet | JDG $1.06 at GG Bet
When: July 11, 2023 | 19:00 CST
Watch Live: Lolesports, Twitch

Team WE’s split so far has been a rollercoaster, but their performance metrics are decent, so it’s tough to say what’s happening with this team. They crushed Top Esports (2-0), lost against LNG Esports (0-2), played a solid game against EDward Gaming (1-2), got humiliated by LGD Gaming (0-2), won against Rare Atom (0-2), and lost against Royal Never Give Up (1-2) on Saturday.

It’s hard to much from that run, but it’s fair to be cautiously optimistic about what Team WE can produce in the LPL Summer playoffs. However, even though Team WE have proven they can play solid League, they should be outclassed in this one.

JD Gaming are by far the best team in the LPL, and their shock loss against Invictus Gaming (1-2) on Sunday doesn’t change that. Some might see it as a sign of JDG not playing at 100% anymore, but they were due to lose one.

That defeat didn’t move the line one bit, and nor should it. JD Gaming need this win to secure a top-two finish, so expect a strong performance.

JD Gaming -9.5 kills

$1.84
at
GG Bet

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